OK so here is my annual wrap up of all my preseason predications. Excited to get started so let’s juts get into it.
Going to assign each a hit or miss or middle (obvi this is kinda around where they were drafted) ranking depending on if I think I got it right or not.
Vanguard Players
1. Matthew Stafford Hit (QB5)
2. Tua Tagovailoa Miss (QB26, not a bad point per game and not a bad QB but not enough explosiveness this year)
3. David Montgomery Middle (RB20, but missed time, was worth it when healthy)
4. Clyde Edwards-Helaire Miss (RB38 but miss time like the above)
5. Miles Sanders Miss (RB43 not used enough, sadge)
6. Amari Cooper Miss (WR26 def disappointing but not bad)
7. Tee Higgins Hit (WR17, 10 points per game is based)
8. Will Fuller N/A (Didn’t play)
9. Tyler Higbee Middle (TE14 yea right about where he was drafted)
10. Mike Gesicki Hit (TE11 def a compiler but great pick for where he went)
11. New England Patriots Hit (DTS2 nailed it, so close to #1)
Total here: 4 hits, 4 miss, 2 middle, 1 N/A
Doing it different when I have the correct adp data from before. Doing hit miss or middle then also thier adp finish.
Deep Sleepers
1. Phillip Lindsay (148 ADP) Miss (324 finish)
2. Allen Lazard (240 ADP) Hit (165 finish)
3. Tua Tagovailoa (156 ADP) Miss (QB26 finish)
4. O.J. Howard (257 ADP) Miss (421 finish)
5. Jalen Reagor (181 ADP) Miss (304 finish)
6. Randall Cobb (183 ADP) Miss (243 finish)
7. Terrace Marshall Jr. (197 ADP) Miss (447 finish)
8. Sony Michel (199 ADP) Hit (117 finish)
9. Jakobi Meyers (200 ADP) Hit (162 finish)
10. Amon-Ra St. Brown (202 ADP) Hit (101 finish)
11. Kadarius Toney (237 ADP) Middle (312 hurt and good)
12. Bryan Edwards (206 ADP) Miss (230 finish)
13. D'Wayne Eskridge (308 ADP) Miss (429 finish)
14. Mac Jones (290 ADP) Hit (QB18 finish)
15. KJ Hamler (300 ADP) N/A (Didn’t really play)
Total here: 5 hits, 8 misses, 1 middle, 1 N/A
Notable guys but wo didn’t make the cut
Pat Freiermuth (214 ADP) Hit (186 finish)
Salvon Ahmed (218 ADP) Miss (390 finish)
Cole Kmet (231 ADP) Miss (254 finish)
Hayden Hurst (235 ADP) Miss (340 finish)
D'Wayne Eskridge (215 ADP) Miss (429 finish)
Josh Palmer (264 ADP) Miss (258 finish, played too many games for that finish)
Amari Rodgers (293 ADP) Miss (532 finish)
Van Jefferson (295 ADP) Hit (130 finish)
Larry Rountree III (319 ADP) Miss (455 finish)
Quintez Cephus (358 ADP) Middle (361 finish, could be a hit not bad production for this)
James Washington (367 ADP) Middle (321 finish, about correct where he was drafted)
Ben Roethlisberger (158 ADP) Middle (QB21, almost a miss for sure)
Kenneth Gainwell (203 ADP) Hit (192 finish)
Total here: 3 hits, 7 miss, 3 middle
Predictions for Accolades
The actual player is highlighted next to the name
MVP: Matt Stafford Aaron Rodgers
Super Bowl MVP: Patrick Mahomes Cooper Kupp
Offensive Player of the Year: Saquon Barkley Cooper Kupp
Defensive Player of the Year: Myles Garrett T.J. Watt
Offensive Rookie of the Year: Zach Wilson Ja’Marr Chase
Defensive Rookie of the Year: Azeez Ojulari Micah Parsons
Comeback Player of the Year: Jimmy Garoppolo Joe Burrow
Coach of the Year: Kyle Shanahan Mike Vrabel
Fantasy Football Bold Predictions
1. Matt Stafford will be a top 5 QB this year. True, count this one. He finished 5 lol
2. Josh Allen and Justin Herbert will finish much worse than their projected rank. Josh Allen is ranked 3rd and he should finish 9th or worse. Herbert is ranked 7th and will finish 15th or worse. Yea they were 1 and 2 for QB sooooo yeaaaa, bad call.
3. Najee Harris won't finish as a top 12 RB. This is CEH all over again and Najee isn't even as good as CEH. Wrong but Najee is overrated
4. James Robinson will finish higher than Chris Carson, Aaron Jones and Antonio Gibson. Jones finished ahead and only played 1 more game, Carson was hurt so didn’t count.
5. Michael Carter will finish as a top 20 RB this year and will be the best RB in the draft class. Finished 30th and was good but was hurt a bit and Najee was fed super hard
6. Amari Cooper will be a top 10 PLAYER in fantasy this year (1/2 point ppr) Nah he was not close
7. DJ Chark will be the best WR in Jax this year and will finish in the top 24 for WR. Injured
8. Brandin Cooks will get to 1,000 receiving yards again and will have at least 7 TDs. Had 1,037 yards and 6 TDs, so while not quite there I’m counting it as a win
9. Kyle Pitts will finish behind Dallas Goedert, T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant this year. Goedert finished one spot higher with 2 less games, Hock had a higher points per game and Fant was 4 behind. Kinda all over the place with this one.
10. Mike Gesicki will finish inside the top 6 this year for TEs. Finished 11th but was so close for while.
So in total I had 2 wins, 5 losses, 2 all over the place but an L for sure and finally Chark got hurt so chalk it up to injury.
NFL Bold Predictions
1. The Colts fail to win 6 games this year. Got 9 but couldn’t get in to the playoffs. *Self-five*
2. The Seahawks will have a top 10 defense this year. Nope
3. Josh Jacobs gets over 1,000 yards on the ground and over 10 TDs. 872 yards and 9 TDs, maybe if he had more time lol
4. The entire NFC West makes the playoffs. Nope but we got 3!
5. The Vikings and Raiders both make with playoffs with over 10 wins. Raiders had 10 and Vikings had 8
6. The Giants win the NFC East behind one of the best defenses in the league. Nah but still have so much talent
7. The Steelers finish with a losing record. 9 wins, lucky
8. The Panthers finish with a winning record and just barely miss the playoffs. Bad QB play lead to only 5 wins, yikes.
9. None of the top 3 receivers taken in the NFL draft (Waddle, Smith, Chase) finish with the most receiving yards. Toney, St. Brown or Eskridge could get there over them. NOPPPEEE but nice St. Brown name drop lol
10. Corey Davis and Denzel Mims combine for over 1800 yards receiving. They didn’t even combine for half that
Not great this year at the bold predictions but they are meant to be bold lol
Final tally is: 0 correct, 5 almost correct, 5 just wrong. Y I K E S
Breakouts
1. Tua Tagovailoa QB22 (155th) Miss (QB26 finish)
2. Jared Goff QB29 (273rd) Middle (QB24 finish)
3. Javonte Williams RB28 (65th) Hit (RB18 finish)
4. Michael Carter RB32 (80th) Hit (RB30 finish)
5. Phillip Lindsay RB49 (151st) Miss (RB76 finish)
6. Jerry Jeudy WR33 (84th) Miss (WR95 finish but also hurt but also not good when playing for FF)
7. Corey Davis WR47 (113th) Injured (had a similar average ppg as WR40sh)
8. Michael Pittman Jr. WR44 (114th) Hit (WR16, nailed this one hard)
9. Amon-Ra St. Brown WR77 (191st) Hit (WR23, nailed it again)
10. Jakobi Meyers WR71 (218th) Hit (WR41, keep it going!)
11. Tyler Higbee TE14 (129th) Middle (TE14, literally right where he was drafted lol)
Total: 5 hits, 3ish misses, 2 middle, 1 injured
Busts
1. Josh Allen QB2 (30th) Miss (QB1)
2. Justin Herbert QB7 (55th) Miss (QB2)
3. Najee Harris RB10 (16th) Miss (RB4)
4. Antonio Gibson RB12 (17th) Miss (RB10)
5. Chase Edmonds RB27 (63rd) Middle (RB37)
6. Raheem Mostert RB25 (59th) Injured
7. CeeDee Lamb WR12 (39th) Middle (WR14)
8. Brandon Aiyuk WR23 (64th) Hit (WR34)
9. Ja'Marr Chase WR24 (64th) Miss (WR3)
10. Kyle Pitts TE4 (48th) Hit (TE9)
11. Rob Gronkowski TE8 (99th) Miss (TE5)
Bad finish here: 2 hits, 6 misses, 2 middle, 1 injured
Now we move onto my favorite part, which I consistently do well each year, and that is teams records and if they made the playoffs or not
AFC North
1. Ravens: 12-5* Actual: 8-9
2. Browns: 12-5* Actual: 8-9
3. Steelers: 7-10 Actual: 9-7-1*
4. Bengals: 4-13 Actual: 10-7*
AFC West
1. Chiefs: 13-4* Actual: 12-5*
2. Raiders: 9-8* Actual: 10-7*
3. Broncos: 9-8 Actual: 7-10
4. Chargers: 7-10 Actual: 9-8
AFC South
1. Titans: 12-5* Actual: 12-5*
2. Colts: 7-10 Actual: 9-8
3. Jaguars: 5-12 Actual: 3-14
4. Texans: 1-16 Actual: 5-12
AFC East
1 Dolphins: 11-6* Actual: 9-8
2 Patriots: 10-7* Actual: 10-7*
3 Bills: 9-8 Actual: 11-6*
4 Jets: 6-11 Actual: 4-13
NFC East
1. Football Team: 12-5* Actual: 7-10
2. Cowboys: 8-9 Actual: 12-5*
3. Giants: 7-10 Actual: 4-13
4. Eagles: 5-12 Actual: 9-8*
NFC North
1. Packers: 13-4* Actual: 13-4*
2. Vikings: 10-7* Actual: 8-9
3. Bears: 6-11 Actual: 6-11
4. Lions: 3-14 Actual: 3-13-1
NFC West
1. Rams: 13-4* Actual: 12-5*
2. Seahawks: 12-5* Actual: 7-10
3. 49ers: 11-6* Actual: 10-7*
4. Cardinals: 9-8 Actual: 11-6*
NFC South
1. Buccaneers: 12-5* Actual: 13-4*
2. Saints: 8-9 Actual: 9-8
3. Panthers: 6-11 Actual: 5-12
4. Falcons: 3-14 Actual: 7-10
Totals:
Exactly the same record: 4
+1/-1 games: 8
+2/-2 games: 9
+3/-3 games: 1
+4/-4 games: 7
The rest: 3
Playoff Teams
AFC
Ravens: 12-5* No
Browns: 12-5* No
Chiefs: 13-4* Yes
Raiders: 9-8* Yes
Titans: 12-5* Yes
Dolphins: 11-6* No
Patriots: 10-7* Yes
NFC
Football Team: 12-5* No
Packers: 13-4* Yes
Vikings: 10-7* No
Rams: 13-4* Yes
Seahawks: 12-5* No
49ers: 11-6* Yes
Buccaneers: 12-5* Yes
Super Bowl Matchup
Rams: 13-4 vs. Chiefs: 13-4
Winner: Rams
Nailed it, Rams winner BABY LETS GOOOOO